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RUB/JPY Moves Through 23.6% Fib, 100dma as Risk-Off Dominates

RUSSIA
  • Risk-off tone dominating markets today, with high-beta currencies taking the brunt of it.
  • Petro-currencies also under major pressure this week as disagreements within OPEC over August output levels spark concerns of output variations and frictions within the cartel.
  • This has more than offset yesterday's hawkish CPI print that could see the CBR deliver another hike in the 75-100bp range on 23 July.
  • RUB/JPY is now -5.18% off its 25 June high, trading towards 1.45 (-1.75% today). To the downside we have the 38.2% fib at 1.4447, followed by the 200dma at 1.4266.
  • However, the RSI is trading in oversold territory at 26.55 – which could see buyers entering around the 1.45-1.4350 zone.


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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