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Rupiah Firms, Indonesia's Trade Surplus Shrinks Less Than Expected

IDR

Overnight greenback weakness applied pressure to spot USD/IDR at the reopen, with the pair extending losses to its worst levels in eight months. It currently trades -34 figs at IDR14,084, with bears looking for further losses past the psychological IDR14,000 barrier, towards Feb 16/Jan 4 lows of IDR14,873/14,865.

  • USD/IDR 1-month NDF last seen +6 figs at IDR14,097. Bulls look to retake Jun 11/Sep 7 lows of IDR14,198/14,201, the previous breakout levels. Bears set their sights on Feb 25 low of IDR14,080, followed by Feb 16 low of IDR14,908.
  • INDOGB 5-Year yield dipped past the 5.0% threshold for the first time since mid-2013 today and seems poised to register its third weekly decline in a row.
  • Indonesia's trade surplus shrank in September but not as much as expected. Shipments rose slightly slower than forecast, imports growth also missed estimates.
  • Looking ahead, Bank Indonesia will deliver their monetary policy decision next Tuesday.

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