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Scotiabank See At Least a 75BP BCCh Cut In December

CHILE
  • According to Scotiabank, the BCCh’s meeting minutes out tomorrow may now look somewhat stale as, since the 50bps decision, the October inflation miss and BCCh President Costa saying the bank will continue to act with flexibility rebuilt expectations that the bank could cut 75bps in December.
  • This was evident in the results of the BCCh’s economists survey published on Friday. Just over half of those polled think officials will favour a cut larger than 50bps; of those, close to a fifth even think a 100bps cut is in store (aligned with Scotiabank’s view of at least a 75bps reduction).
  • The BCCh’s traders survey, out on Thursday should show something similar—though maybe less dovish.
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