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Spikes Weaker After Jobs Data Beat

AUSSIE BONDS

ACGBs spike weaker to session cheaps (YM -5.0 & XM -4.0) after March employment data prints higher than expected with a gain of 53k and an unemployment rate of 3.5% (BBG consensus expectations +20k and 3.6%).

  • Cash ACGBs are 4-7bp cheaper after the data with the AU-US 10-year yield differential +3bp at -11bp.
  • Swap rates are 6-7bp higher after the jobs data with EFPs unchanged at +1bp on the day.
  • Bills strip pricing shifts lower with pricing 4-7bp cheaper on the day.
  • RBA dated OIS shunts 6-7bp firmer for meetings beyond July. A 25% chance of a 25bp hike in May remains priced.

Figure 1: RBA Dated OIS: Post-Data Vs. Pre-Data


Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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