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Spot USD/HKD Dips Supported, US-HK Rate Differentials Starting To Stabilize

HKD

After making fresh highs in late NY trade on Wednesday (near 7.8480), USD/HKD has seen more two-way price action today. The pair pulled back towards 7.8440, before settling back closer to 7.8460 in recent dealings. Spot dips sub 7.8440 have generally been supported in recent sessions.

  • Hibor 1 month fixed lower today, back under 3.72%, we did fix slightly higher yesterday (3.76%). The 3 month was also fixed lower, 4.45%, versus 4.48% yesterday.
  • US-HK short end yield differentials have started to stabilize though, with US 3 month edging down this past week, weighed by weaker US data outcomes.
  • The 1 month risk reversal is steady at -0.37. 12 month USD/HKD outright remains under 7.7800, with moves above this level generally sold by the market. The 6 month sits back closer to 7.8000, away from recent highs near 7.8050.
  • On the data front, July retail sales print later, while July money supply and the budget balance are also due today.

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