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Free AccessStabilising In Recent Trade, Still Comfortably Cheaper & Steeper, With BTPs Wider
Little to really add after the stabilisation around the ~128.80 mark in Bund futures, with the contract last -60. ~15 ticks off lows, briefly retaking 129.00 before that level gave way again.
- German cash benchmarks sit 0.5-8.0bp cheaper, with the 5s30s curve moving to the steepest level seen since early June.
- Core/semi-core 10-Year spreads to Bunds are little changed on the day, with bear steepening also seen on those curves.
- Peripheral spreads are little changed to ~2bp wider, with BTPs continuing to lead spread widening. As noted earlier, Italian fiscal headwinds, outright pressure and a negative session for equities are seen as key drivers of that widening, after rumoured changes to the controversial Italian banking tax provided some support early on.
- ECB-dated OIS trades either side of flat on the day, with already seen ECB speak pointing to belief in the need to hold interest rates at current levels for as long as is necessary.
- Further ECB speak from Lagarde and Schnabel will cross later.
- The €IG supply slate continues to build, which will be adding background pressure.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.