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Steady January Inflation As Goods Prices Stabilise Too

AUSTRALIA DATA

January CPI inflation printed below expectations holding steady at 3.4% y/y and ex volatile items & holiday travel dipped 0.1pp to 4.1% and the trimmed mean 0.2pp to 3.8%. The first month of the quarter doesn’t include updates for the services component but even so is unlikely to drive a shift in the RBA’s on hold stance or tightening bias.

  • Headline inflation rose 0.4% m/m but 3-month momentum continued to ease and is around the mid-point of the band. The ABS said that the 3.4% y/y increase in prices was driven by housing (+4.6% y/y), food (+4.4%, fresh food was negative) and insurance (+8.2%) but holiday travel & accommodation fell 7.1% y/y.
  • RBA Governor Bullock noted that the help from falling goods inflation is probably behind us and in January goods inflation was only 0.1pp lower at 3.1% y/y and non-tradeables 0.1pp higher at 0.9%.
  • Electricity prices were brought down by rebates as they rose only 0.8% y/y and would’ve been 15.3% without them, according to the ABS.
  • Rents rose 7.4% y/y in January as the market remains tight.
Australia CPI y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/ABS

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