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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessStronger As Fed Chair Softens Hawkish Tone
ACGBs are stronger (YM +5.6 & XM +6.9) with U.S Tsys weaker on the day but off session cheaps set in Asia-Pac trade yesterday (generally a little richer vs. levels seen at the Sydney close). Fed Chair Powell's second testimony had a slightly less hawkish tone, citing data dependency, noting that policy was “not on a preset path”. Cash ACGBs open 5bp to 7bp lower with the 3/10 curve 2bp flatter and the AU/US 10-year yield differential moving 6bp lower to -32bp, a cycle low.
- With the RBA having now openly canvassed the policy pause option, the BOC’s choice to follow through with its widely-signalled no-change decision, despite the Fed's hawkish tilt, is noteworthy given it highlights the possibility of divergent policy paths as the tightening cycle matures.
- Swaps open stronger with rates 2-8bp lower, the 3s10s curve 3bp flatter and EFP slightly wider.
- Bill are flat to 3bp richer, led by the reds.
- RBA dated OIS was -1bp to -3bp softer across meetings beyond June. April meeting pricing remains around a 55% chance of a 25bp hike with terminal rate pricing around ~4.05%.
- No local data is slated for today with the next releases of significance being NAB Business Confidence on (Tue)
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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.