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Free AccessUSD/JPY Resilient To US Yield Dip, National CPI Due Out Shortly
USD/JPY is just under 135.90 currently, very close to overnight highs. Overnight dips into the 134.60/70 region were supported. Current USD/JPY levels are a little higher relative to overnight US yield momentum, which faltered at the short end (2yr down 9bps to just under 3.20%). The 10yr was only down a touch to 2.88%, but there is a modest wedge with current yen levels. The domestic focus is firmly on national CPI data for July, due out shortly.
- The market expects headline YoY to print at 2.6%, from 2.4% previously. Ex fresh food is forecast at 2.4% (from 2.2% prior), ex energy 1.1% from 1.0% in June.
- With the Tokyo CPI figures already out for August, today's print may not move market sentiment a great deal. This release continued to show upside momentum in headline measures (2.5% YoY), and ex food 2.3%.
- With core inflation (ex energy) nto expected to print much above 1.0%, the debate around a potential BoJ policy shift may remain a slow burner, at least in the near term .
- Elsewhere the firmer equity backdrop likely weighed on JPY at the margin, along with higher oil prices. Recall earlier this week Japan's weaker than expected trade figures.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.