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Swap Spreads Continue To Compress On TLTROs, German Issuance

EGBS

Swap spread narrowing stands out in an otherwise quiet start to the week so far for EGBs.

  • Schatz spreads are down 2.1bp to 72.4bp this morning, the lowest since July, down 12bp on the week and well below the 121bp peak close. Bund ASW is down marginally but touched the narrowest level since March.
  • Friday's higher-than-expected TLTRO repayments are one factor applying downside pressure on spreads.
  • Another being cited is a Spiegel report at the end of last week adding further confirmation that the German 2023 fiscal deficit would be higher than previously planned (in line, as Commerzbank points out, with nat'l budget legislation) - suggesting more German debt and therefore more high-quality collateral coming into circulation.

Bund ASW, bpSource: BBG

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