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Swiss Franc Strength Approaching Notable Resistance

CHF
  • Price action in G10FX has been largely uneventful to start the week. However, the Swiss Franc has gradually extended a recent strengthening trend.
  • EURCHF (-0.27%) and USDCHF (-0.59%) have underperformed on Monday , with both pairs approaching firm support areas worth noting.
  • For EURCHF, 1.0505/10 represents an area of multiple lows between April-May 2020. A breach of which, would constitute the lowest level seen since mid-2015 (a significant year for the SNB!)
  • On a slightly shorter-term note, USDCHF is hovering just above 0.9100 horizontal support across the mid-August lows. Additionally, an upward sloping trendline across the 2021 lows intersects at 0.9085. A break of this technical point could have the potential to accelerate CHF strength and would target the August and June lows at 0.9019 and 0.8926 respectively.
  • Of note, JPMorgan have added an outright EUR/CHF short to existing CHF/JPY position to increase bullish CHF exposure. They commented that "any tapering in the SNB's liquidity policy in response to the onset of inflation will automatically feed-through to the exchange rate because this will entail less intervention, and in the extreme case no intervention"
  • For reference, Swiss CPI and Retail Sales data is scheduled for tomorrow

MNI/Bloomberg

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