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T-Notes +0-01 at 128-25 after going out.....>

US TSYS
US TSYS: T-Notes +0-01 at 128-25 after going out near lows on Weds. Cash trade
saw bear steepening come the bell, with cash 10s experiencing a ~17bp intraday
range, a 99th percentile move when using the last 5 years' worth of daily
trading data. Volumes well above avg., including cash trade (per dealers).
Goings on in the Gulf were the main driver. The outcome was the de-escalation of
U.S.-Iranian tension, that many were looking for, coming to fruition, as Trump
addressed the world, pointing to a preference for the use of economic sanctions
on Iran, as opposed to military might after Iran's missile attack resulted in
little damage to U.S. assets, and was deemed more of a warning shot. That being
said, missiles have hit Baghdad's green zone in the time since Trump spoke,
providing a bump off the lows, before the move faded in late NY trade.
- The latest 10-Year auction added to the weakness, with a ~1.6bp tail, steady
cover ratio & average takedown metrics. Decent buying of the TYH0 127/128 put
spd was also seen. Elsewhere, ADP emp. data was much stronger than exp., with a
sizeable positive revision to the prev. print. Focus Thursday moves to Fedspeak,
with Clarida, Williams, Kashkari (x2), Barkin, Evans & Bullard all due up.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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