Free Trial

The front end of the Sonia curve is...........>

SONIA
SONIA: The front end of the Sonia curve is modestly bear flattening in early
Tuesday morning trade compared to Monday's close as markets look ahead to key
testimony from new Fed Chair Powell this afternoon. Debate is around how many
interest rate hikes are likely this year. In the UK, focus continues on Brexit
and this time on a draft Brexit treaty that is expected to be published by the
EU on Wednesday that newswire say could cause difficulties for PM May. MNI PINCH
calculate 83.5% chance of a hike in May-18 and a 57.5% chance of a second rate
hike in November. Current levels in short end Sonia:-
* 6-mth +0.3bp at 0.612%
* 9-mth +0.3bp at 0.671%
* 12-mth +0.4bp at 0.727%
* 15-mth +0.2bp at 0.771%
* 18-mth +0.2bp at 0.812%
* 21-mth +0.2bp at 0.85%
* 2-yr +0.1bp at 0.886%
* 3-yr unch at 1%

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.