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BTPS: The Italian yield curve is underperforming today with the mid part of the
curve underperforming the most possibly on the back of announcement of the date
for the Italian elections for 4 March. There was also a BTP future block that
went through earlier of 2,085 IKH8 @ 139.65 helping explain the sharp sell-off.
The Bund-BTP spread is 4.3bp wider at 143.6bp.
- Polling currently shows the M5S leading with a fairly consistent 28-29% of the
vote ahead of the PD at around 25% and the combined Forza Italia/Northern League
at approximately 28%.