Free Trial

Tight Ahead Of Another Round Of Supply

US TSYS

T-Notes have been happy to meander along, last -0-01 at 132-11, sitting within the confines of a 0-03+ range, with little in the way of meaningful macro headline flow apparent overnight. The cash Tsy curve has seen some light steepening, with longer dated Tsys cheapening by ~1.0bp vs. Monday's closing levels.

  • As a reminder, cash Tsys traded unchanged to ~1.5bp cheaper come the bell on Monday, with very modest underperformance for 2- to 7-Year paper evident. Softer than expected durable goods data (albeit coupled with positive revisions to the previous month's readings) helped the space away from intraday cheaps, reversing some bear steepening during early NY dealing, although a firmer than expected manufacturing survey from the Dallas Fed ultimately capped the rally after T-Notes tapped fresh intraday highs. The space then coiled into the close, with nothing in the way of market reaction seen to the latest round of comments from NEC Director Deese, who tried to bypass any worry surrounding President Biden's plans re: tax increases. The FOMC-adjusted Tsy supply schedule didn't get off to the firmest start, with 2-Year supply tailing by 0.4bp, as the cover ratio slipped to below average levels and dealer participation jumped to above average levels. 5-Year supply was a little smoother, stopping on the screws, with a relatively steady cover ratio printing around the recent average, while dealer takedown nudged lower, printing a little below the recent average.
  • Tuesday's 7-Year Tsy & 2-Year FRN auctions present the final issuance hurdles ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, while consumer confidence data headlines the local economic docket.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.