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Trump Spiking In Polls As Biden Continues To Slump


Politico reports that President Biden’s recent polling slump has left Biden in a worse position against former President Trump, across a broad number of hypothetical 2024 surveys, than he was at the start of the November.

  • Politico: “The president’s standing in head-to-head matchups with Trump is falling: Among the latest surveys this month from 13 separate pollsters, Biden’s position is worse than their previous polls in all but two of them.”
  • Politico notes: “Biden’s recent slide... represent a confluence of slippage with reliable Democratic constituencies like young voters, the outbreak of war in the Middle East and the rise of independent and third-party candidates who could siphon votes from both Biden and Trump.”
  • Politico notes that underlying trends also, "spell trouble" for Biden, noting that while the President's approval trend has been ticking down since early summer, "Trump’s numbers are rising: [...] Dating back a little more than a year, RealClearPolitics’ average has had Trump hovering between 42 percent and 46 percent in a head-to-head matchup with Biden. Not only did Trump break 46 percent for the first time earlier this month, this week he inched above 47 percent, about equal to his vote share in the 2020 election."

Figure 1: President Biden Polling vs Trump, Select Polling

Source: Politico

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