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Trump Supporters Want Former President To Attend Debates

US

A new survey from bipartisan public affairs firm, Firehouse Strategies, has found that 68% of Republican voters, including 77% of Trump supporters, say Trump should participate in presidential debates.

  • Firehouse Strategies: “Two-thirds of Republican primary voters want to see former President Donald Trump on the debate stage, according to a new national survey... That number is even higher among Trump’s voters, 77% of whom say he should participate, suggesting that he risks disappointing his base if he fails to show up at the first debate on Wednesday night.”
  • Trump remains the clear favourite to take the GOP nomination with an implied probability of 72% of winning, according to Smarkets.
  • A key trend is the continuing rise of outsider Vivek Ramaswamy. The Daily Beast reported yesterday that Fox News has pivoted from supporting Florida governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) to supporting Ramaswamy: “…the change has been remarkable: Over the past week, Fox News has mentioned Ramaswamy at least 200 times..."

Figure 1: Republican Presidential Nominee (Implied Probability of Winning)

Source: Smarkets

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