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Free AccessTsys Off Lows, Chair Powell Tone Balanced At Jackson Hole
- US rates are holding mildly weaker after the bell, near the middle of the session range after early event driven volatility. Treasury futures initially trade weaker/extend lows in reaction to Fed Chairman Powell's keynote speech from Jackson Hole economic summit, and just as quickly reversed course.
- Stocks are trading firmer in late trade, headed back near early session highs as Fed Chairman Powell's speech from Jackson Hole deemed more balanced, or at the least: not as hawkish as it could have been.
- “We are prepared to raise rates further if appropriate, and intend to hold policy at a restrictive level until we are confident that inflation is moving sustainably down toward our objective,” Powell said in his widely awaited Jackson Hole speech. “There is substantial further ground to cover to get back to price stability.”
- Powell said he’s pleased to see inflation coming down but is not yet fully convinced that price pressures are on a sustainable path downward to the Fed’s 2% target, particularly because inflation excluding food and energy prices remains more than twice that level.
- Front month 10Y futures marked 109-03.5 low (-15.5) are currently trading 109-13.5 after tapping 109-23 briefly this morning. Heavy futures volume by the close (TYU3>3.6M) due to a surge in quarterly futures rolls from Sep to Dec ahead next Thursday's First Notice. Sep'23 Treasury options expiration also added to heavy volumes.
- Slow start to the week ahead -- culminates with the latest employment data for August next Friday.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.