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Turkey 5y5y Forward Swap Rises +80bp Following Surprise Rate Cut

TURKEY
  • Turkey's 5y5y forward swap has been trending higher in recent session following the CBRT pivot to core inflation, broadly reflecting de-anchored expectations as a period of more difficult policy approaches
  • While this pales in comparison to the post-Agbal removal price action, the trend is becoming increasingly bullish with expectations for renewed dollarisation risks re-emerging following the dovish pivot
  • The 5y5y contract spiked +80bp higher today, trading in a 140bp range today, but looks set to move higher as market expectations continue to align with higher CPI

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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