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(U3) Bearish Theme

GILT TECHS
  • RES 4: 95.82 High Aug 10 and key short-term resistance
  • RES 3: 93.60 20-day EMA
  • RES 2: 93.05/93.70 High Aug 16 / Low Aug 4
  • RES 1: 92.41 High Aug 22
  • PRICE: 92.06 @ Close Aug 22
  • SUP 1: 91.19 Low Aug 17
  • SUP 2: 90.70 1.236 proj of the Jul 19 - Aug 4 - Aug 10 price swing
  • SUP 3: 90.38 Low Oct 12 2022 (cont) and a major support
  • SUP 4: 90.10 1.382 proj of the Jul 19 - Aug 4 - Aug 10 price swing

A bearish theme in Gilt futures remains intact and the contract is consolidating for now. Last week’s move lower resulted in a break of support at 92.09, the Jul 7 low. This represents an important breach and confirms a resumption of the medium-term downtrend. Scope is seen for a move towards the major support at 90.38, the Oct 12, 2022 low on the continuation chart. On the upside, initial firm resistance is at 93.05, the Aug 16 high.

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