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UK GfK Consumer Confidence rises second consecutive month

UK DATA

UK GfK Consumer Confidence rose +2 points to -22 in November, in line with expectations (-22 forecast, -24 prior). This is a 20-point year on year rise, although it remains below the long-run average of -10.

  • For the second month running, all five sub-components rose slightly.
  • In particular, the ‘Personal Financial Situation over the next 12 months’ sub-component rose +1 point to -2, very close to positive territory, and +27 points Y/Y.
  • The Client Strategy Director stated “Despite the severe cost-of-living crisis still impacting most households, this slow but persistent movement towards positive territory for the personal finance measure looking ahead is an encouraging sign for the year to come.”
  • The index remains comfortably above levels seen across 2022 and also remains above year-to-date average of -29. There was a clear upward trend in the data between Summer 2022 and Spring 2023, but the last 6 months have seen the data become a bit more volatility. Therefore, there is likely to be little immediate implications for monetary policy from this release.
  • December’s survey was conducted among 2003 individuals from November 29th and December 8th.

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