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UK PMIs Beat Expectations (And Eurozone)

DATA REACT

UK flash August PMI figures (55.3 manufacturing vs 54.0 exp, 53.3 prior ; 60.1 services vs 57.0 exp, 56.5 prior) were reflective of a "sharp and accelerated increase in business activity in August", per IHS Markit, with the Composite number the highest since Oct 2013 (60.3). More from that release:

  • On orderbooks: "Total volumes of new work expanded for the second month running in August, with the latest increase the fastest since July 2014...Survey respondents often commented on the restart of projects delayed during the public health emergency, but continued to note that levels of demand remained well below those seen prior to the pandemic."
  • On jobs: "In contrast to the positive trends for output and new orders, latest data indicated the fastest pace of decline in employment numbers...primarily attributed to redundancy programmes in response to depleted volumes of work and the need to reduce overheads before the government's job retention scheme winds down. "
  • On inflation: "rate of inflation eased... higher fuel bills and rising costs for imported items had pushed up operating expenses, which was only partially offset by higher average prices charged"
  • On expectations: "The index measuring growth projections for the next 12 months dipped for the first time since March, with some survey respondents citing concerns that the recovery will be slower than first expected."


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