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Updates on Container Shipping Names

CREDIT UPDATE


  • Hapag equitiues best performer among €HY eqv. equity names after Iran earlier today seized the St Nikolas oil tanker, Iran semi-officials quoted on bbg that it was with a court order to retaliate for the "oil theft" by the US last year. Maersk Chief executive Vincent Clerc was on FT today that "at this time when inflation is a big issue, it’s putting inflationary pressure on our costs, on our customers, and ultimately on consumers in Europe and the US...in the short run, it could cause significant disruptions at the end of January, February and into March". It is reportedly facing 50% higher fuel costs due to the longer route. Hapag 2.5% 28's {BO802504 Corp} (Ba3 Pos, BB+ Stable) have continued rallying (mid's) +$0.2 today & a YTD ~40bp rally in spread vs. €HY's -15bp move.
  • Bloomberg analyst reiterating their view today that they see structural weakness in rates once temporary red sea disruptions ease; "This is temporarily masking the longer-term structural challenges facing the liner industry. Supply growth could outpace demand by 340 bps in 2024 and 210 bps in 2025, according to Clarksons." Drewry reported World Container Index rates jumped 15% to $3,072 this week - not much detail from them outside of; "Drewry anticipates East-West spot rates to increase in the coming weeks, due to the Red Sea/Suez situation." Europe to US rates & Shanghai to LA/NY largely ~unch - i.e. no pass through to broader routes yet in data.

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