US Data: Highlights of Market Estimates of Economic Forecasts

     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for 

upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by Bloomberg estimates. The comment

section presents the key elements behind the median forecasts. 

     October Retail Sales (percent change)

Friday, November 15th at 8:30 a.m. ET                            Actual:        

                          Median                             Oct19  Sep19  Aug19

Retail Sales               0.2                                --    -0.3    0.4

ex. mtr veh                0.4                                --    -0.1    0.0

ex. mtr veh & gas          0.3                                --     0.0    0.1

        Comments: Retail sales measures are expected to jump considerably, with

a headline figure moving to 0.2% from -0.3%, but held down by declines in auto

sales. Excluding motor vehicles, the figure is projected to move to 0.4% from

-0.1%, and further excluding gas is anticipated to jump to 0.3% from 0.0 in

September.  

     October Imports & Exports Price Index (index)

Friday, November 15th at 8:30 a.m. ET                            Actual:        

                          Median                              Oct19  Sep19 Aug19

Imports                   -0.2                                 --     0.2   -0.5

     Exports                   -0.1                                 --    -0.2  

-0.6     

        Comments: The Imports Price Index is anticipated to fall to -0.2% from

0.2% in September. Exports are projected to improve slightly to -0.1 from -0.2

in September. 

     November Empire Manufacturing Index(index)

Friday, November 15th at 8:30 a.m. ET                            Actual:        

                          Median                              Nov19  Oct19 Sep19

Index                     6.0                                 --     4.0    2.0 

        Comments: The Empire Manufacturing Index is expected to rise for the

third consecutive month, moving to 6.0 from 4.0, and 2.0 prior to that. 

     Industrial Production (percent change)

Friday, November 15th at 9:15 a.m. ET                             Actual:       

                            Median                            Oct19  Sep19 Aug19

Ind. Prod                     -0.4                             --    -0.4    0.8

Cap. Util                    77.0                              --    77.5   77.9

        Comments: October Industrial production and capacity utilization are

expected to be weighed by the GM strike, with industrial production falling

-0.4%, and capacity utilization dropping to 77.0% from 77.5%. 

     September Business Inventories 

Friday, November 15th at 10:00 a.m. ET                            Actual:       

                          Median                              Sep19  Aug19 Jul19

Inventories                 0.1                                --     0.0   0.4 

        Comments: Business Inventories are expected to tick up slightly in

September, moving to a 0.1% reading after a flat August reading. This small

uptick coincides with similar reading in the Small Business index, underscoring

investor confidence.

--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: alexandra.kelley@marketnews.com

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