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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 20:06 GMT Oct 26/16:06 EST Oct 26
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
GDP for Third Quarter (advance estimate)
Friday, October 27 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range 3Q17a 2Q17 1Q17
GDP +2.7% +1.9% to +3.3% -- +3.1% +1.2%
Chain Prices +1.8% +1.5% to +2.0% -- +1.0% +2.0%
Comments: Analysts expected GDP to rise 2.7% in the advance
estimate for the third quarter, only slightly below the 3.1% increase in
the second quarter. Analysts will watch closely to see the impact of the
hurricanes in August and September. The key drivers are expected to be
inventories, business investment and net export gap, offset by softer
residential investment, with uncertainty on impact of consumer and
government spending. The chain price index is forecast to rise 1.8% after
a 1.0% gain in the second quarter.
University of Michigan Survey for October (final)
Friday, October 28 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Oct17f Oct17p Sep17
Consumer Sent 101.0 100.0 to 101.5 -- 101.1 95.1
Comments: The Michigan Sentiment index is expected to be revised
only slightly lower to a reading of 101.0 from the 101.1 preliminary
estimate, keeping it well above the 95.1 reading in September. Record
stock market levels and the belief that August and September's
hurricane impacts were less than expected have lifted confidence.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.