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AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS

(H1) Fragile Outlook

US TSYS SUMMARY

Curve Lower, Flatter as Yields Reverse Off Cycle Highs

US TSY/RECAP

Yield Curve Update

STIR FUTURES

Eurodollars Futures Snapshot

USDCAD TECHS

Consolidating

AUDUSD TECHS

Probes Key Support

US Economic Data Calendar

--Rating: *** most market sensitive, * least market sensitive
     
Date    ET                                                    Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
02-Jan 0855 **  29-Dec Redbook retail sales m/m                 0.1    --   %
02-Jan 0945 *** Dec    Markit Mfg Index (final)                53.9    --
02-Jan 1030 **  Jan    Dallas Fed services index               11.4    --
 
03-Jan  -   *** Dec    NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR         9.8    -- m 
03-Jan 0700 **  28-Dec MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
03-Jan 0730 *   Dec    challenger layoff plans                 51.5    --   %
03-Jan 0815 *** Dec    ADP private payrolls                     179    -- k 
03-Jan 0830 **  29-Dec jobless claims                           216    -- k 
03-Jan 0945 *   Dec    ISM-NY current conditions               67.8  57.5
03-Jan 1000 *   Nov    construction spending                   -0.1   0.4   %
03-Jan 1000 *** Dec    ISM Manufacturing Index                 59.3  58.2
03-Jan 1630 **  02-Jan Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
04-Jan 0830 *** Dec    nonfarm payrolls                         155   180 k 
04-Jan 0830 *** Dec    private payrolls                         161   175 k 
04-Jan 0830 *** Dec    unemployment rate                        3.7   3.6   %
04-Jan 0830 *** Dec    average hourly earnings                  0.2   0.3   %
04-Jan 0830 *** Dec    average workweek, all workers           34.4  34.5   hrs
04-Jan 0945 *** Dec    Markit Services Index (final)           53.4    --
04-Jan 1030 **  28-Dec natural gas stocks w/w                   -48    --   Bcf
04-Jan 1100 **  28-Dec crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w             -46    -- m bbl
04-Jan 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast          2.80    --   %
04-Jan 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                      2.48    --   %
 
07-Jan 1000 **  Nov    factory new orders                      -2.1    --   %
07-Jan 1000 **  Nov    factory orders ex transport              0.3    --   %
07-Jan 1000 *** Dec    ISM Non-manufacturing Index             60.7    --
07-Jan 1000 *   Dec    ETI                                       --    --
07-Jan 1500 *   Dec    Treasury STRIPS Holdings                  --    -- b USD
 
08-Jan 0600 **  Dec    NFIB Small Business Index              104.8    --
08-Jan 0830 **  Nov    trade balance                          -55.5    -- b USD
08-Jan 0855 **  05-Jan Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
08-Jan 1000 **  Nov    JOLTS job openings level                7079    -- k 
08-Jan 1000 **  Nov    JOLTS quits rate                         2.3    --   %
08-Jan 1500 *   Nov    consumer credit                           --    -- b USD
 
09-Jan 0700 **  04-Jan MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
09-Jan 1000 *   Jan    help-wanted online ratio                  --    --
09-Jan 1000 **  Jan    Atlanta Fed inflation                     --    --   %
09-Jan 1030 **  04-Jan crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
09-Jan 1100 **  Dec    Kansas City Fed LMCI                      --    --
 
10-Jan 0830 **  05-Jan jobless claims                            --    -- k 
10-Jan 1000 **  Nov    wholesale inventories                    0.8    --   %
10-Jan 1000 **  Nov    wholesale sales                         -0.2    --   %
10-Jan 1030 **  04-Jan natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
10-Jan 1630 **  09-Jan Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
11-Jan 0830 *** Dec    CPI                                      0.0    --   %
11-Jan 0830 *** Dec    CPI Ex Food and Energy                   0.2    --   %
11-Jan 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
11-Jan 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
11-Jan 1200 **  16/17  grain stocks                              --    --
11-Jan 1400 **  Dec    Treasury budget balance                -204.9   -- b USD
 
14-Jan 1100 **  Jan    NY Fed expectations survey                --    --
 
15-Jan 0830 *** Dec    Final Demand PPI                         0.1    --   %
15-Jan 0830 *** Dec    PPI ex. food and energy                  0.3    --   %
15-Jan 0830 *** Dec    PPI ex. food, energy, trade              0.3    --   %
15-Jan 0830 **  Jan    Empire Manufacturing Index              10.9    --
15-Jan 0855 **  12-Jan Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
15-Jan 1000 **  Jan    IBD/TIPP Optimism Index                 52.6    --
 
16-Jan 0700 **  11-Jan MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
16-Jan 0830 *** Dec    retail sales                             0.2    --   %
16-Jan 0830 *** Dec    retail sales ex. motor vehicle           0.2    --   %
16-Jan 0830 *** Dec    retail sales ex. mtr veh, gas            0.5    --   %
16-Jan 0830 **  Dec    imports price index                     -1.6    --   %
16-Jan 0830 **  Dec    exports price index                     -0.9    --   %
16-Jan 0830 **  Jan    NY Fed Business Leaders Index            5.6    --
16-Jan 1000 *   Nov    business inventories                     0.6    --   %
16-Jan 1000 **  Jan    NAHB home builder index                   56    --
16-Jan 1030 **  11-Jan crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
16-Jan 1600 **  Nov    net TICS flows                            --    -- b USD
16-Jan 1600 **  Nov    long term TICS flows                      --    -- b USD
 
17-Jan 0830 **  12-Jan jobless claims                            --    -- k 
17-Jan 0830 *** Dec    housing starts                         1.256    -- m 
17-Jan 0830 *** Dec    building permits                       1.328    -- m 
17-Jan 0830 **  Jan    Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index               9.4    --
17-Jan 1030 **  11-Jan natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
17-Jan 1630 **  16-Jan Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
18-Jan 0915 *** Dec    industrial production                    0.6    --   %
18-Jan 0915 *** Dec    capacity utilization                    78.5    --   %
18-Jan 1000 *** Jan    Michigan sentiment index (p)            98.3    --
18-Jan 1000 *   Dec    BLS state payrolls                        --    -- k 
18-Jan 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
18-Jan 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
22-Jan 0830 **  Jan    Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index            3.9    --
22-Jan 1000 *** Dec    existing home sales                     5.32    -- m 
 
23-Jan 0700 **  18-Jan MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
23-Jan 0855 **  19-Jan Redbook retail sales m/m                -0.3    --   %
23-Jan 0900 **  Nov    FHFA Home Price Index                    0.3    --   %
23-Jan 1000 **  Jan    Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    -8    --
 
24-Jan 0830 **  19-Jan jobless claims                           206    -- k 
24-Jan 0945 *** Jan    Markit Mfg Index (flash)                  --    --
24-Jan 0945 *** Jan    Markit Services Index (flash)             --    --
24-Jan 1000 **  Dec    leading indicators                       0.2    --   %
24-Jan 1030 **  18-Jan natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
24-Jan 1100 **  18-Jan crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
24-Jan 1100 **  Jan    Kansas City Fed Mfg Index                  3    --
24-Jan 1630 **  23-Jan Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
25-Jan 0830 **  Dec    durable goods new orders                 0.8    --   %
25-Jan 0830 **  Dec    durable new orders ex transport         -0.3    --   %
25-Jan 0900 *   Dec    bldg permits revision                     --    -- m 
25-Jan 1000 *** Dec    new home sales                            --    -- m 
25-Jan 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
25-Jan 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
28-Jan 1030 **  Jan    Dallas Fed manufacturing index          -5.1    --
 
29-Jan 0830 **  Dec    advance goods trade gap                   --    -- b USD
29-Jan 0830 **  Dec    advance wholesale inventories             --    --   %
29-Jan 0830 **  Dec    advance retail inventories                --    --   %
29-Jan 0855 **  26-Jan Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
29-Jan 0900 **  Nov    Case-Shiller Home Price Index            0.4    --
29-Jan 1000 **  Q4     housing vacancies rate                    --    --   %
29-Jan 1000 *** Jan    Conference Board confidence            128.1    --
29-Jan 1030 **  Jan    Dallas Fed services index                 --    --
 
30-Jan 0700 **  25-Jan MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
30-Jan 0815 *** Dec    ADP private payrolls                      --    -- k 
30-Jan 0830 *** Q4     GDP (adv)                                3.4    --   %
30-Jan 0830 *** Q4     GDP Price Index                          1.8    --   %
30-Jan 1000 **  Dec    NAR pending home sales index           101.4    --
30-Jan 1030 **  25-Jan crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
     
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]