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US Lags Firming In $-Bloc Terminal Rate Expectations

STIR

Over the past week, there has been a firming in terminal rate expectations across the $-bloc, led by the NZ and Canadian markets. In contrast, the US STIR remained fairly stable as investors await the speech by Fed Chair Powell at the upcoming Jackson Hole event on Friday. As of now, terminal rate expectations and the aggregate tightening stand at:

  • 5.45%, +12bp (FOMC);
  • 5.27%, +27bp (BoC);
  • 4.24%, +17bp (RBA); and
  • 5.71%, +21bp (RBNZ).

Figure 1: $-Bloc STIR



Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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