US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                            Oct-17    Sep-17   Aug-17   Jul-17   Jun-17   May-17

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UI Claims/4wk avg

wk 1                       244/258   298/250  244/241  250/244  245/242  238/243

wk 2                       223/249   281/263  232/241  248/246  238/243  236/244

wk 3                       234/240   260/269  235/238  234/244  242/245  233/241

wk 4                       229/233   269/277  236/237  245/244  244/242  235/236

wk 5                                 258/267           241/242           255/240

Nonfarm Payrolls              +261      +18k    +208k    +138k    +210k    +145k

Private Payrolls             +252k      +15k    +184k    +133k    +207k    +153k

Mfg Payroll                   +24k       +6k     +44k     -11k     +21k     Flat

Unemployment                  4.1%      4.2%     4.4%     4.3%     4.4%     4.3%

Avg Wkly Hours                34.4      34.4     34.4     34.4     34.5     34.4

Avg Hours - Mfg               41.0      40.8     40.8     40.9     40.8     40.7

Aggr Hours Index             +0.2%      Flat    +0.2%    -0.2%    +0.5%    -0.2%

Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg         +0.8%      Flat    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.3%     Flat

Avg Hourly Earnings           Flat     +0.5%    +0.2%    +0.5%    +0.2%    +0.2%

Final Demand PPI                       +0.4%    +0.2%    -0.1%    +0.1%     Flat

excl food & energy                     +0.4%    +0.1%    -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%

excl food, energy, trade               +0.2%    +0.2%     Flat    +0.2%    -0.1%

CPI                                    +0.5%    +0.4%    +0.1%     Flat    -0.1%

excl food & energy                     +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%

Import Prices                          +0.7%    +0.6%    -0.1%    -0.2%    -0.1%

non-petro import prices                +0.3%    +0.3%    -0.1%    +0.1%     Flat

ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index       68.5      71.5     62.0     62.0     55.0     60.5

Core PCE Price Index                   +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%

Treasury Budget (bn)                  +$8.00  -$107.7   -$42.9   -$90.2   -$88.4

Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$13.1   +$17.7   +$11.5   +$18.1

CB Consumer Confidence       125.9     120.6    120.4    120.0    117.3    117.6

Consumer Sentiment           100.7      95.1     96.8     93.4     95.1     97.1

Car Sales, saar (mn)           4.4       4.6      4.0      4.2      4.0      4.2

Truck Sales, saar (mn)         9.4       9.6      8.3      8.7      8.8      8.5

Total, saar (mn)              13.8      14.2     12.3     12.9     12.8     12.7

Retail Sales                           +1.6%    -0.1%    +0.5%    -0.1%     Flat

excl motor vehicles                    +1.0%    +0.5%    +0.5%    -0.2%    -0.2%

Personal Income                        +0.4%    +0.2%    +0.3%     Flat    +0.3%

Personal Spending                      +1.0%    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.1%    +0.2%

ISM Mfg Index                 58.7      60.8     58.8     56.3     57.8     54.9

ISM Nonmfg NMI                60.1      59.8     55.3     53.9     57.4     56.9

MNI Chicago Report            66.2      65.2     58.9     58.9     65.7     59.4

Phila Fed Mfg Index           27.9      23.8     18.9     19.5     27.6     38.8

Phila Fed Nonmfg Index        32.2      33.2     31.8     23.4     33.6     25.6

Empire State Index            30.2      24.4     25.2      9.8     19.8     -1.0

Markit Mfg Index              54.6      53.1     52.8     53.3     52.0     52.7

Markit Services Index         55.3      55.3     56.0     54.6     54.2     53.6

Ind Production                         +0.3%    -0.7%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%

Capacity Util                          76.0%    75.8%    76.5%    76.6%    76.6%

Factory Orders                         +1.4%    +1.2%    -3.3%    +3.2%    -0.3%

Factory Orders ex

transport                              +0.7%    +0.6%    +0.5%    +0.1%    -0.1%

Durables                               +2.0%    +2.1%    -6.8%    +6.4%     Flat

Durables ex transport                  +0.7%    +0.8%     +0.8     Flat    +0.8%

Nondurables                            +0.8%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.2%    -0.6%

Mfg Shipments                          +0.8%    +0.6%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.3%

Business Inventories                            +0.7%    +0.3%    +0.5%    +0.3%

Factory                                +0.7%    +0.6%    +0.4%     +0.3    -0.2%

Retail                              -1.0%(a)    +0.7%     Flat    +0.6%    +0.6%

Wholesale                           +0.3%(a)    +0.9%     +0.6    +0.6%    +0.6%

Housing Starts (mn)                    1.127    1.183    1.185    1.217    1.129

Building Permits (mn)                  1.225    1.272    1.230    1.275    1.168

NAHB Index                      68        64       67       64       66       69

New Home Sales (k)                       667      561      582      614      606

Existing Homes (mn)                     5.39     5.35     5.44     5.51     5.62

Pending Home Sales Index               106.0    106.0    109.1    110.0    108.6

Construct Spending                     +0.3%    +0.1%    -0.9%    -0.8%    +1.6%

Private Residential                    -0.4%    -0.1%    -0.4%    +1.2%    +0.7%

Trade Balance (bn)                    -$43.5   -$42.8   -$43.6   -$43.5   -$46.4

Exports (bn)                          $196.8   $194.7   $194.5   $194.9   $192.3

Imports (bn)                          $240.3   $237.5   $238.1   $238.5   $238.7

Goods Only, BOP (bn)                  -$65.4   -$64.8   -$65.3   -$65.4   -$66.3

Leading Index                          -0.2%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.6%    +0.3%

                                       Q3-17             Q2-17             Q1-17

GDP (chain-wt)                         +3.0%             +3.1%             +1.2%

Final Sales                            +2.3%             +2.9%             +2.7%

Chain prices                           +2.2%             +1.0%             +2.0%

Current-dollar                         +5.2%             +4.1%             +3.3%

                                       Q3-17             Q2-17             Q1-17

Nonfarm Productivity                   +3.0%             +1.5%             +0.1%

Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs               +0.5%             +0.3%             +4.8%

                                       Q3-17             Q2-17             Q1-17

ECI (q/q)                              +0.7%             +0.5%             +0.8%

(a) advance report

--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com

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