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US Treasuries have recovered well...>

US TSYS SUMMARY
US TSYS SUMMARY: US Treasuries have recovered well from the low levels seen just
before Trump stood to deliver the State of the Union Address. Currently, the TY
is at 121-26, well above the 121-19 seen late on Tuesday.
- Between 3Y and 10Y the yield declines are around 2bp, while the two extremes
of the curve are struggling to keep pace.
- One decent jump in prices occurred soon after the European open, which
although Bunds rallied at the same time appeared to be led by the TY.
- It is a big day, with Janet Yellen presiding over her final FOMC meeting. By
now, the market would easily be able to absorb a slight hawkish move in the FOMC
statement when it is released at 1400ET/1900GMT.
- Note that it is month-end index duration extension day, flows that usually
turn up after around 1430ET. There is also much talk of balanced funds
re-adjusting their portfolios toward bonds and away from equities although such
changes often have more impact in the new month or quarter rather than showing
up on the final day.
- Data sees ADP, Chicago PMI and pending home sales.

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