US: Trump Continues To Make Inroads With Latino Voters

A new survey from NBC News has found that Harris is leading former Trump among Latino voters, “but that advantage has declined to Democrats’ lowest level in the past four presidential cycles.”

• NBC notes, “Harris has lost some ground with Latinos at a time when these consequential voters are more likely than the general electorate to cite the economy and the rising cost of living as top priorities.”
• NBC adds: “While Harris’ 14-point advantage is an improvement from President Joe Biden’s standing when he was at the top of the ticket, it is still lower than the past leads Democratic presidential candidates enjoyed in 2012 (by 39 points), 2016 (50 points) and 2020 (36 points), according to NBC’s merged polling data from those past cycles”.
• The Washington Post notes: "A recent New York Times/Siena poll found Harris leading Trump among Latinos in Arizona by eight points, as she garnered 49 percent of Hispanic likely voters to Trump’s 41 percent. In 2020, exit polls showed Biden winning this group by 24 points, with 61 percent of Latinos backing him compared with 37 percent who voted for Trump."

Figure 1: “Harris leads Trump among Latinos, but by the smallest margin measured in recent elections by NBC News polling”