-
Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM POLICY: -
EM Policy
EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM EM POLICY: -
G10 Markets
G10 Markets
Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
Launch MNI PodcastsFixed IncomeFI Markets AnalysisCentral Bank PreviewsFI PiFixed Income Technical AnalysisUS$ Credit Supply PipelineGilt Week AheadGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance CalendarsEZ/UK Bond Auction CalendarEZ/UK T-bill Auction CalendarUS Treasury Auction CalendarPolitical RiskMNI Political Risk AnalysisMNI Political Risk - US Daily BriefMNI Political Risk - The week AheadElection Previews -
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
Real-time insight of emerging markets in CEMEA, Asia and LatAm region
-
Commodities
-
Credit
Credit
Real time insight of credit markets
-
Data
-
Global Macro
Global Macro
Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
Global MacroDM Central Bank PreviewsDM Central Bank ReviewsEM Central Bank PreviewsEM Central Bank ReviewsBalance Sheet AnalysisData AnalysisEurozone DataUK DataUS DataAPAC DataInflation InsightEmployment InsightGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance Calendars EZ/UK Bond Auction Calendar EZ/UK T-bill Auction Calendar US Treasury Auction Calendar Global Macro Weekly -
About Us
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessUS TSYS EBB IN QUIET 2-WAY TRADE, AS US, EUROPEAN STOCKS GAIN
US TSYS SUMMARY: US Treasuries prices end lower in rangebound Tuesday after
late ebb and two-way muted flows and stronger U.S. stocks indexes and firmer
European stocks. Tsys had mild dip buying after light selling on firmer 31.8
August Phil Fed nonmanufacturing activity index. Aug Richmond Fed mfrg index
steady: 14.
- Sept/Dec Tsy futures roll: Sale of 11,700 TYU/TYZ at 9.75 and 6,900 TUU/TUZ at
3+; total 5Y spread volume was over 164,000 so far from 9.0-9.75.
- US SWAPS: Spds tighter, spd curve steeper after prior flattening; afternoon
front end 2way flow, better 5Y receivers, light deal-tied flows. - Tsy $30B 4-wk
bill sale tailed: above-avg 74.5% dealers, 20.2% indirect, small 5.3% directs.
World Bk did $3B 3Y:MS-4; Swedish Export Credit $1B global 5Y:MS+20.
- EURODLR FUTRS: End weaker; sale of 10,000 Dec'17, 98.57; followed buy of 9,200
Red Mar'19 at 98.27. MBS: firmer.
- TIPS outperformed nominal Tsys.
- O/N REPO: Tsy 2Y, 5Y, 10Y tight.
- EGBs: Italian BTPs slid, big 5Y BTPs seller, maybe hedge fund.
- TSYS 3PM ET: 2Y 1.326%, 3Y 1.473%, 5Y 1.785%, 7Y 2.030%, 10Y 2.215% and 30Y
2.788%.
US TSY FUTURES CLOSE: Weaker by the bell, at/near late session lows with the
long end underperforming. Rather muted volume propped up by decent Sep/Dec roll
volume, particularly in 5yr futures. Current futures levels:
* Sep Ultra bonds down 26/32 at 167-31 (167-29L/168-26H)
* Sep 30-yr Bond futures down 19/32 at 155-18 (155-17L/156-07H)
* Sep 10-yr futures down 9.5/64 at 126-17.5 (126-17.5L/126-28H)
* Sep 5-yr futures down 5.75/32 at 118-13.75 (118-13.75L/118-19.5H)
* Sep 2-yr futures down 1.5/32 at 108-07 (108-07L/108-08.5H)
US EURODLR FUTURES CLOSE: Finish weaker on modest volume, near middle of narrow
range, short end outperforming. Current White pack (Jun'17-Mar'18):
* Sep'17 -0.007 at 98.670
* Dec'17 -0.005 at 98.570
* Mar'18 -0.015 at 98.490
* Jun'18 -0.015 at 98.435
* Red pack (Sep'18-Jun'19) -0.020-0.030
* Green pack (Sep'19-Jun'20) -0.030-0.025
* Blue pack (Sep'20-Jun'21) -0.030-0.025
* Gold pack (Sep'21-Jun'22) -0.030-0.025
US SWAPS: Spds tighter by the bell, spd curve back to steeper after brief trip
flatter earlier. Modest second half front end flow two-way w/better receivers in
5s, as well as light deal-tied flow in the mix. Earlier, sources reported rate
paying in 2s, 2s5s spd flattener and 2s3s5s swap fly helping keep levels in
range. OTC vol steady to lower, gamma underperforming on lack of real vol on the
day. Latest spread levels:
* 2Y -0.31/25.12
* 5Y -1.00/5.62
* 10Y -0.12/-5.75
* 30Y -0.06/-34.50
OUTLOOK: *** Data/speaker calendar (prior, estimate):
- Aug 23 18-Aug MBA Mortgage Applications (0.1%, --) 0700ET
- Aug 23 Aug Markit Services Index (flash) (54.6, --) 0945ET
- Aug 23 Aug Markit Mfg Index (flash) (53.3, --) 0945ET
- Aug 23 Jul new home sales (610k, 613k) 1000ET
- Aug 23 18-Aug crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w(-8.9m bbl, --) 1030ET
- Aug 23 US Tsy $13.0B 2-Year FRN auction reopening 1130ET
- Aug 23 Dal Fed Kaplan, Perm Basin/Petroleum Assn, TX Q/A 1305ET
Eurodollar/Treasury option summary
Eurodollar options,
Pit/screen:
20.5k EDZ 82p, cab
+20k EDH/EDM 86/87c spd spds, 0.0/Mar ovr
+10k EDH 81/82p spds, 1.5
8k EDH 81/83 2x1p spds
5k EDU 87c, cab
+4k EDZ 86/E2Z 85c spds, 0.5/EDZ'16 ovr
1.25k EDZ 83p, 0.5
5k EOU 82p, 1.0
2k EOU 81/82 3x2p spds, 1.0
2k EOU 81/82 2x1p spds, 0.5
2k EOV 83/85 2x1p spds
2k EOZ 81/82/83p flys, 2.0
3k E2Z 85/EDZ 86c spds, 0.5
2k E2Z 81/E3Z 83 straddle spds, 2.5
2.5k E4U 80c, 2.0
Tsy options
Pit/screen:
-20k TYZ 129c, 16-17
4.2k TYX 126+/129c spds, 39
3.5k TYU 126+p, 11-9
1.15k TYZ 126 straddles, 205
1k TYX 125+/127+ strangles, 60
+1.1k FVU 118+/FVU 118.75/FVV 119c fly, 7.5
2k TUV/TUZ 108.12p spds, 5
1k TUV 106.6/107.7/107.8/108p condors
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.