-
Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM POLICY: -
EM Policy
EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM EM POLICY: -
G10 Markets
G10 Markets
Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
Launch MNI PodcastsFixed IncomeFI Markets AnalysisCentral Bank PreviewsFI PiFixed Income Technical AnalysisUS$ Credit Supply PipelineGilt Week AheadGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance CalendarsEZ/UK Bond Auction CalendarEZ/UK T-bill Auction CalendarUS Treasury Auction CalendarPolitical RiskMNI Political Risk AnalysisMNI Political Risk - US Daily BriefMNI Political Risk - The week AheadElection Previews -
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
Real-time insight of emerging markets in CEMEA, Asia and LatAm region
-
Commodities
-
Credit
Credit
Real time insight of credit markets
-
Data
-
Global Macro
Global Macro
Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
Global MacroDM Central Bank PreviewsDM Central Bank ReviewsEM Central Bank PreviewsEM Central Bank ReviewsBalance Sheet AnalysisData AnalysisEurozone DataUK DataUS DataAPAC DataInflation InsightEmployment InsightGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance Calendars EZ/UK Bond Auction Calendar EZ/UK T-bill Auction Calendar US Treasury Auction Calendar Global Macro Weekly -
About Us
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessUS TSYS: NONFARM PAYROLLS DISSAPOINTS/PBOC JOLTS CURRENCIES
US TSY SUMMARY: Tsys traded mildly higher into the bell, curves mixed; data
today was highlighted by nonfarm payrolls coming in lower than expected at +157k
vs +190 est., revisions made expectations; ISM non-manufacturing index came in
weaker than expected at 55.7 vs 58.6 exp.
- WTI fell this afternoon in react to Bbg headline "Saudi Arabia Is Said to Have
Pumped 10.3M B/D of Crude in July" -- a little less than June but "volume
produced was 10.29m b/d and the volume supplied to the market, including crude
drawn from stocks, was 10.38m b/d, one delegate says". Has since pared losses
West Texas crude (WTI -0.38, 68.58).
-CHINA: PBOC announces higher reserve requirement for FX forwards, from 0% to
20%
-DXY -.031 to 95.139; US$/Yen fell this morning to new lows, -.43 to 111.22
(111.87H/111.10L); equities higher (emini +9.50, 2,838.00); gold stronger (XAU
+6.00, 1213.81); Tsy cash/ylds: 2Y 99-30.5 (2.645%), 5Y 99-21.5 (2.819%), 10Y
99-09.5 (2.956%), 30Y 100-14(3.101%)
US TSY FUTURES CLOSE: Trading mildly higher near session highs, decent volume
(TYU 1.2M), Curves mixed; update:
* 2s10s -1.689, 30.356 (29.913L/31.979H);
* 2s30s -0.714, 44.577 (43.587L/45.376H);
* 5s30s +1.486, 27.677 (25.582L/28.215H);
Current futures levels:
* Sep Ultra bonds up 25/32 at 156-21 (155-23L/156-22H)
* Sep 30-yr Bond futures up 18/32 at 143-00 (142-09L/143-02H)
* Sep 10-yr futures up 09/32 at 119-19.5 (119-07.5L/119-20H)
* Sep 5-yr futures up 5.5/32 at 113-09.5 (113-02L/113-09.75H)
* Sep 2-yr futures up 1.25/32 at 105-24 (105-21.75L/105-24H)
US EURODOLLAR FUTURES CLOSE: Trading slightly higher at or near session highs,
moderate volume, Current White pack (Sep'18-Jun'19):
* Sep'18 +0.010 at 97.585
* Dec'18 +0.005 at 97.330
* Jun'19 +0.010 at 97.185
* Jun'19 +0.015 at 97.070
* Red pack (Sep'19-Jun'20) +0.035-0.025
* Green pack (Sep'20-Jun'21) +0.040-0.035
* Blue pack (Sep'21-Jun'21) +0.035
* Gold pack (Sep'22-Jun'22) +0.035-0.030
TECHNICALS:
US DOLLAR LIBOR: Latest settles,
* O/N -0.0052 to 1.9150% (-0.0058/wk)
* 1 Month -0.0008 to 2.0793% (+0.0026/wk)
* 3 Month +0.0025 to 2.3430% (+0.0007/wk)
* 6 Month -0.0058 to 2.5247% (-0.0051/wk)
* 1 Year -0.0004 to 2.8273% (+0.0060/wk)
US TSYS: *** /REPO REFERENCE RATES: (rate, volume)
* Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 1.91% vs. 1.88% prior, $781B
* Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 1.90% vs. 1.86% prior, $392B
* Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TGCR): 1.90% vs. 1.86% prior, $381B
US SWAPS: US SWAPS: Spds still running mostly wider, holding narrow range w/
short end bucking move since well before the open. Moderate two-way flow
includes $500M 1Y receiver (2.662%), receiving 2s5s10s fly; curve flow: 4s5s and
5s10s flatteners, 3s4s, 3s5s and 5s10s steepeners. No notable deal-tied hedging.
Latest spd levels:
* 2Y -0.25/22.06
* 5Y +0.62/14.75
* 10Y +0.38/7.38
* 30Y +0.38/-4.38
PIPELINE: Corporate issuance remains muted
Date $MM Issuer/Rating/Desc/Maturity/Yld/Leads; Priced *; Launch #:
No new issuance Friday, $7.7B priced on week
-
$1.3B priced Thursday
08/02 $800M *Pacific Gas & Electricity, upsized: $500M 5Y +145, $300M 10Y +170
08/02 $500M *FS Energy & Power 5NC
OUTLOOK: Data/speaker calendar (prior, estimate):
- Aug 06 Jul ETI (108.94, --) 1000ET
- Aug 06 US Tsy $51B 13Wk bill auction 1130ET
- Aug 06 US Tsy $45B 26Wk bill auction 1130ET
- Aug 06 Jul Treasury STRIPS Holdings 1500ET
Eurodollar/Treasury Option Summary
Eurodollar options, Pit/screen:
* 5,000 Green Dec 68 puts, 13.0 vs. 96.95/0.40%
* 5,000 Blue Dec 68 puts, 13.0 vs. 96.945/0.40%
* +10,000 short Dec 63/65/66/67 put condors, 2.5 vs. 96.87/0.05
* +4,000 short Oct 71 calls, 4.0
* -2,500 Dec 71/72 put spds, 2.75
* +2,500 Sep 76/77 put spds, 11.5
* 5,000 Short Sep 72/75 call sprd at 1 vs 9699.5/0.10%
* +7,000 Red Sep 62/65 3x1 put sprd at 0.5
* 4,000 Sep 76/78 2x1 put sprd at 18
* 3,000 Short Sep 71/73 call sprd at 2 vs 9698.5/0.18%
* -3,000 Short Sep 68/70 1x2 call sprd at 1.25
US TSY OPTIONS: Latest trade,
* 5,000 TYV 117/117.5 put spds, 3/64
* 2,500 TYU 117.5/118.5 put spds, 4/64 vs. 119-15.5 to -16
* +1,000 FVU 113 puts, 10/64vs. 113-04.75
* 1,314 FVZ 111/112/112.5 2x1x1 put trees, 0.5 net/2-legs over
--MNI Chicago Bureau; +1 630-698-0154; email: ryan.martin@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$,MN$FX$]
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.