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USD/BRL Powers Through 100 & 200dma as Commodities Mount a Sharp Recovery

BRAZIL
  • USD/BRL continued to push lower in yesterday's session, having made an abrupt reversal just below 5.50 last week.
  • The cross has returned below the 200 & 100dmas at a rapid tilt this week as Govt pledged more restraint on the fiscal side, commodities continued to recover and markets brushed off softer current account data in yesterday's session.
  • Inflation also notched up higher than expected in yesterday's session at 9.30% y/y vs 9.24% exp, fanning concerns of even larger hikes in the pipeline for the BCB should proinflationary pressures remain untethered in August/September.
  • Iron ore is up +3.96% in early trading, with price action holding tentatively above the 150 handle, while oil markets see profit taking after three successive days of gains.
  • Momentum in the cross remains bearish, with a move below 5.20 opening up the 50dma at 5.1580 and the late July lows at 5.10 below.


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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