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USD Net Long Specs Reach New Highs Despite Recent Dollar Consolidation

FOREX
  • Net long specs on the US Dollar continued to rise in the week ended July 19, increasing by 25.1K to a total of 221K contracts, their highest level since early January.
  • The recent consolidation in the DXY index has been mainly driven by an easing of the scale of rate hike speculation from Fed this week on July 27.
  • Market expectations have fallen back towards 75bps, in line with sell-side analysts' estimates, as soft data continues to price in further deceleration in the economic activity.
  • After breaking above the 109 level on July 14, the DXY index has been constantly reaching new lows in the past 10 days, currently trading slightly above the 106 support.
  • Next level to watch on the downside stands at 105.84, which corresponds to the 23.6% Fibo retracement of the 94.64 - 109.29 range, followed by 105.
  • On the topside, resistance to watch stands at 107.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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