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Free AccessUSD/PHP Remains Range Bound Despite Equity Slump
USD/PHP has had a modest 20pip range (54.47/54.67) so far today, last sitting just above 54.51. Note the 20-day EMA comes in at 54.87, while recent lows sit just under 54.30.
- The slump in local equities, down 2.80% at this stage isn't impacting FX sentiment. Equities are tracking sharply lower into month end, as the index lost 1.15% yesterday.
- There doesn't appear to be an obvious catalyst for the equity market weakness, although plans for the government to tax nickel exports may be weighing at the margins.
- Elsewhere, the BSP stated that the next inflation report is expected to be in the 7.5-8.3% range. This prints on the 7th of Feb (next Tuesday). At this stage the market consensus sits at 7.4% y/y for this print. The BSP continues to state it will do what is necessary to prevent a broadening of price pressures.
- Bank lending data showed some easing, with loans now at 13.1% y/y from a revised 13.5% in Nov. The cumulative impact of BSP tightening likely to be slowing growth.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.