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USD/ZAR Eyes Inverted H&S Support Below After Short-term Trendline Break

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades -0.10% lower this morning, mirroring early price action in the BBDXY.
  • The cross fell -0.96% yesterday, breaking below trendline support that had been building since 21 Jan to take a leg closer to the 15.00 handle.
  • Focus will be on Ramaphosa’s SONA today for signs of reform inertia today and discussion on grants, SOEs and corruption with markets hoping for less lofty dreams and more tangible signs of implementation in structural reforms.
  • This speech will for the basis for the Feb budget as most analysts agree that Rampahosa is likely to favour an extension of the SRD grant over an unaffordable permanent basic income grant.
  • US CPI will be the major international focus with markets expecting a slight moderation in m/m numbers to 0.4% vs 0.5% prior.
  • Improved risk sentiment and USD weakness continues to support downside in USD/ZAR with an eye on H&S support around the 15.00 handle.
  • Intraday Sup1: 15.0674, Sup2: 14.975, Res1: 15.2963, Res2: 15.3532

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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