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USDCAD Continues Climb Towards 1.38 But Analysts Eyeing 1.345

CANADA
  • USDCAD at 1.3786 has climbed further today as part of continued USD gains, touching a high of 1.3793. CAD outperforms high beta peers, although to less extent than yesterday.
  • The technical trend is higher for the pair, with moving average studies in a bull-mode position and a bull trigger at 1.3899 (Nov 1 high).
  • In contrast, a Reuters poll of 36 foreign exchange analysts through Nov. 3-7 saw the Canadian dollar strengthening 2.3% to 1.345 per U.S. dollar in three months (vs 1.340 in an October poll). This decline in USDCAD is then seen building to 1.30 over a year (vs 1.29 in October).
  • Today sees building permits and the BoC minutes on the local docket (plus 5Y supply) whilst further heavy Fedspeak including Powell headlines the USD leg.

Source: USDCAD

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