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USDCAD Holding Around The Week’s Highs

CANADA
  • USDCAD fleetingly pushed above the highs of 1.3815/1.3816 from the past two days, touching 1.382 before dipping 10 pips with a lift in the S&P emini.
  • The pair trades sideways on the day despite WTI pushing higher and some further GoC underperformance to Tsys (2Y diff -44bps, 10Y diff -77bps for tightest since mid-Oct)
  • Next resistance is seen at a bull trigger of 1.3899 (Nov 1 high), whilst UBS has recently noted it doubts markets will push USDCAD north of 1.39-1.41 whilst recommending selling upside.
  • Nearest expiry of any reasonable size is $644m at 1.3800 for today’s NY cut.
  • Ahead, the BoC’s Senior Loan Officer Survey at 1030ET is the only local event of note though, with the pair otherwise leaning on the US docket and broader risk sentiment.

Source: Bloomberg

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