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USDCAD Tests Key Resistance With Crude and Equities Under Pressure

CANADA
[amended to specify 2022 for the major resistance at Oct 13, 2022 high]
  • USDCAD has pushed to a new high of 1.3865 as WTI holds most of its earlier intraday losses helped by Israel-Hama ceasefire headlines and equity futures pushing session lows, and in a move that's seen an additional leg after a large upward revision to 1Y consumer inflation expectations in the US.
  • It’s seen a fleeting clearance of a key resistance at 1.3862 (Mar 10 high), which if sustained opens firmer still resistance at 1.3977 (Oct 13, 2022 high).
  • GoC outperformance to Tsys doesn’t help at the margin, with 2Y GoC yields -2.5bps vs -0.5bps, and the 10Y CAN-US differential plumbing new recent lows of -85.5bps.
  • CAD lags all but CHF on the day, continuing its run of underperformance to most majors seen this week.

Source: Bloomberg

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