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USDMXN Continues Downward Trajectory, Lowest Since March 2020

MEXICO
  • Last week, USDMXN gravitated below key support at 19.7274, the Apr 4 low. The clear breach has highlighted an important technical break and confirmed a resumption of a bear cycle that started on Nov 26 last year.
    • Subsequently, the pair has fallen below 19.60 and 19.55, notable 2021 lows, which has prompted an extension of the bearish price action to print lows around 19.45 as of writing.
    • This represents the lowest level for the pair since briefly after the pandemic began in early 2020.
  • The highlight this week will be the release of the central bank inflation report, scheduled for Wednesday.
  • Hurricane Agatha is forecast to bring life-threatening hurricane-force winds to the southern Mexican state of Oaxaca, with tropical storm conditions beginning Sunday night or early Monday, according to the US National Hurricane Center.

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