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Very Strong Jobs And Buying Numbers In US Consumer Confidence Report

DATA REACT

The Conference Board consumer confidence report beats expectations, at 129.1 in July (123.9 exp, 128.9 prior revised from 127.3). Expectations steady at 108.4 (108.5 prior, revised from 107.0), with present situation up to 160.3 (from 159.6 prior, revised from 157.7).

A strong report across the board, which is of particular note given the disappointment in the University of Michigan numbers released two weeks ago. It also suggests that consumer momentum is likely to pick up as we enter the 2nd half.

  • Jobs "easy to find" minus "hard to get" at a new 21-year high of 44.4% (44.2% in June).
  • Multiple categories under "plans to buy within 6 months" are at multi-year highs: 56.8% plan to buy major appliances (highest since 2017), 13.1% to buy a new car (highest since 2019).
  • 1-Yr inflation expectations 6.6% vs 6.7% prior.
  • Income index (expected to increase minus decrease) 12.0% (highest since pandemic began).


Source: Conference Board

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