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VIEW: Westpac Expects 1.3% Wage Gain, Wage Growth Disappointing

AUSTRALIA

Westpac’s expectations for today’s Q3 WPI release are in line with consensus at 1.3% q/q and 3.9% y/y. It says that it is going to be boosted by the July 1 increase in the minimum wage but they’d “thought it should have some signalling impact on near–term wage bargaining”.

  • Westpac’s forecast results in a 1.7% q/q increase in original terms with one third due to award wage increases, although 16% of the workforce is on awards. “Contrast that with individual arrangements which represent more than half the workforce and yet their contribution will be less than half.”
  • “Wage inflation has been quite disappointing compared to just how tight the labour market is and the announced outsized gain in the minimum wage this year.”

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