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VIEW: Westpac note that "in light of......>

AUSTRALIA
AUSTRALIA: VIEW: Westpac note that "in light of last week's revised JobKeeper
estimate, Westpac's economics team has re-assessed our expectation for the
Federal fiscal position. We now expect a deficit of A$80bn for the 2019-20
financial year and A$170bn for 2020-21. As such, we now expect gross issuance of
nominal & indexed-linked ACGBs this year to total A$131.8bn. To date, the AOFM
has issued A$106.5bn and is expected to issue A$25.3bn between now and June
2030. Under our deficit expectations that would represent "pre-funding" of
A$8.5bn to go against next year's larger funding requirement which we see as
needing A$215.6bn of gross ACGB issuance. They remain large numbers, breaking
previous peaks in issuance, however, they are also significantly lower than was
the market's central expectation only a few days ago. While there has been some
adjustment, we do not think that is fully reflected in current outright yields
and curve shape."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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