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VIEWS: Bank Desk Views On The RBA MonPol........>

RBA
RBA: VIEWS: Bank Desk Views On The RBA MonPol Decision:
- ANZ: We think it is pretty safe to assume that the Minutes from this meeting
will restate the oft-repeated assessment that "the next move in the cash rate
would more likely be an increase than a decrease."
- Barclays: We think the core issues of 1) low wage growth, 2) subdued CPI & 3)
falling house prices continue to drive a disinflationary backdrop despite
stronger growth. We believe that this 3-course weakness is likely to prevent
policy normalisation for some time, even if employment & growth remain
relatively strong. We exp. the rate hiking cycle to only begin in H120.
- TD: Providing stability by doing nothing is the Bank's stance just now, as
well as quietly welcoming AUD depreciation. We still tilt towards a more hawkish
tone being introduced in '19.
- Westpac: There were few changes to the Governor's last Statement. Commentary
around the labour mkt was a little more upbeat while the 3% fall in the AUD was
largely attributed to the USD strength. No reason to change our call that the
cash rate will remain on hold through '20.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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