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Voters Split On Preferred Outcome Of Upper House Elections

JAPAN

The latest opinion polling ahead of the 10 July elections for the upper chamber of the Japanese National Diet, the House of Councillors, shows respondents divided on the preferred outcome of the vote. An almost equal number of respondents want to see PM Fumio Kishida's centre-right Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) gain seats as those who want to see the opposition make gains.

  • NHK poll: Desired outcome of Upper House election: Government parties gaining seats: 24% (-), Opposition parties gaining seats: 28% (+1). +/- vs. 17-19 June 2022. Fieldwork: 24-26 June 2022. Sample size: 2,049
  • NHK poll: Approval for Prime Minister Kishida Cabinet: Approve: 50% (-5), Disapprove: 27% (+2). +/- vs. 17-19 June 2022. Fieldwork: 24-26 June 2022. Sample size: 2,049
  • NHK poll: Party Identification LDP: 36% (-2), Constitutional Democratic Party: 6% (+1), Ishin (Libertarian) 5% (+1), Komeito: 4.6%, No support: 34% (-), +/- vs. 17-19 June 2022, Fieldwork: 24-26 June 2022, Sample size: 2,049
Kishida's LDP and its coalition ally, the conservative Komeito party, currently hold a combined 137 seats in the 245-member House of Councillors. This is above the 123 required for a majority, but short of the 164 required for a two-thirds supermajority. The gov't already is short of a supermajority in the House of Representatives, limiting the prospect for constitutional change that has been a major political talking point in Japan over the past decade.
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Homepagemarkets-real-timePolitical Market NewsPolitical RiskBank of Japan (BOJ) Market NewsPolitical Risk BulletBulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange Bullets

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