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Free AccessWeakens Close to 7.2500, USD/CNY Near 7.2200, As Headlines On Intervention Cross
USD/CNH sits near 7.2475 in recent dealings, below session highs (7.2496). Not surprisingly, implied vols have spiked higher following the break higher this morning. The 1 month is back +3.6%, which is up from recent lows close to 2.50%. We are still some distance from early Jan highs, close to 6%. 1 month risk reversals have also spiked.
- Nov 17 highs in USD/CNH came in close to 7.2700, beyond that lies the 7.3000 handle. USD/CNH weakness is following on from the onshore break above 7.2000.
- Headlines have cross in recent dealings that state banks are selling USD to support the yuan. USD/CNY spot broke above 7.2000 earlier for this the first time this year. This level had held as a resistance point for some time. We have since risen to highs of 7.2220/25. So far, the reported intervention hasn't seen the yuan reboundmuch.
- In the cross-asset space, weakness in HK/China equities are not helping FX sentiment. Earnings weakness and concerns around fresh US regulations are headwinds at this stage.
- The break higher in USD/CNH also puts it more into line with US-CH yield differentials. Recall, recent comments this week around scope for lower RRR levels, which is likely aiding market sentiment potential for easier policy settings.
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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.