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YouGov MRP Projects Biden Wins With 350 Elec. College Votes To Trump's 188

US

Polling agency YouGov has released the latest update to its Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) poll, which shows Democrat Joe Biden on course for a comprehensive win over incumbent President Donald Trump, with 350 electoral college votes to Trump's 188.

  • Link: https://today.yougov.com/2020-presidential-election
  • Methodology: https://today.yougov.com/topics/politics/articles-...
  • The poll has involved 63,850 interviews in all 50 US states.
  • Biden sweeps nearly all swing states, with Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin going blue according to the MRP.
  • YouGov's MRP poll was last used in the 2019 UK general election, where it correctly projected a Conservative majority, albeit underestimating PM Johnson's party's seat total. Its final projection put the Conservatives on 339 seats, Labour on 231, the SNP on 41, and the Liberal Democrats on 15. In the event the Conservatives won 365 seats, Labour 202, the SNP 48 and the Liberal Democrats 11.

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