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###(1/3)Majority of analysts see ECB.......>

ECB VIEW
ECB VIEW: ###(1/3)Majority of analysts see ECB extending QE by 9-months at
E30bln p/m on Thursday, while 3 expect a 12-month and 3 a 6-month extension:
* Pictet Asset Management expects 9-month extension of QE at E30bn p/m along
with some changes to QE composition and reinvestment policy".
* RBC: Look for a reduction of at least E30bln in net terms with duration
remaining opened ended but with at least a 9-month end date. Forward Guidance
should be strengthened and re-iterated.
* Soc Gen: 9-month extensions at E25bln p/m, possibly buy debt with longer
maturities. Keep door open to more QE thereafter if needed, maintain rate hikes
for March and June 2019 to put an end to the negative deposit rate.
* Barclays: Expect 9-month extension at E30bln p/m, but do not rule out 12-month
at E20-25bln. Believe forward guidance will be left unchanged for now but
amended in Q2 2018 to allow first depo rate hike before end of 2018.
* ING: Expect 12-mth QE extension at E25bln p/m & Draghi to emphasise sequencing
-- rates to remain low beyond end of QE, help anchor interest rate expectations.

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