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2nd Successive Poll Shows Conservative Lead Narrowing Sharply

UK

Latest poll from YouGov shows Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservatives' lead reduced sharply as rising COVID-19 cases combine with energy price hikes, food price inflation, and goods shortages to damage the gov'ts standing.

  • Westminster voting intention: CON: 37% (-4), LAB: 33% (+2), GRN: 10% (+2), LDEM: 9% (-), REFUK: 4% (-). via @YouGov. Chgs. w/ 13 Oct
  • YouGov polls had been something of an outlier in recent weeks, giving the Conservatives a much wider lead than other outlets. This poll moves the Conservative lead more into line with other pollsters. This poll comes a day after a Kantar poll showed the Conservatives down 4%, with Labour up 4% compared to September.
  • Nevertheless, with Chancellor Rishi Sunak due to deliver the autumn Budget on 27 October the gov't will be wary that a spate of tax hikes to pay for pandemic largesse could tip the scales further against the Conservatives.
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