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Free Access30-year 3.75% Oct-53 gilt
- The DMO will launch its new 30-year 3.75% Oct-53 gilt via syndication this week (most likely on Tuesday).
- There is GBP5.0bln left in the DMO’s issuance plan allocated to the transaction, but there is also a GBP1.5bln unallocated portion of issuance that could see the size of the transaction rise to GBP6.0bln (fairly likely) or even GBP6.5bln (a bit less likely in our view).
- The 3.75% Oct-53 gilt will replace the 1.25% Jul-51 gilt as the on-the-run 30-year gilt. The 1.25% Jul-51 gilt was launched via syndication in April 2021 with GBP6.0bln sold from books of GBP69.4bln. Each reopening since has been via auction with all auctions seeing a bid-to-cover in excess of 2x, with 2.10x seen in December and 2.13x in October.
- We would expect a relatively strong syndication, particularly given the BOE has successfully unwound its Financial Stability Portfolio quicker than most analysts (and probably the BOE themselves) expected.
- Note that the 3.75% Oct-53 gilt will be reopened via auction on 21 March and ahead of that we will have the first long-dated APF sales operation next week (30 January) as well an auction of the 1.50% Jul-53 green gilt on 22 February.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.